Hermès Birkin 30

1. Best value

   Birkin Dream

   $1,863.34

   Chance per open

   1 %

   Average cost to pull

   $186,334.00

   With $500

   Over budget

   Open · $1,863.34
2. Best odds

   Billionaire

   $4,981.39

   Chance per open

   2 %

   Average cost to pull

   $249,069.50

   With $500

   Over budget

   Open · $4,981.39
3. 

   Designer Closet

   $434.73

   Chance per open

   1 in 2,000

   Average cost to pull

   $869,460.00

   With $500

   1 in 2,0001 open

   Open · $434.73

Every open is its own provably fair roll, so luck can make it take far fewer opens or far more. "Average cost to pull" is the case price divided by the chance per open; the budget chance is the chance of at least one Hermès Birkin 30 in that many opens. Demo credits have no real value.